Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1095.201228 1240.748891 1401.826652 1593.899774 1817.454782 2070.342572 2379.336986
2025-09-21 846.784491 1032.874410 1257.504754 1550.984341 1927.748646 2399.859925 3043.605860
2025-09-28 704.251450 900.215446 1150.305832 1497.213158 1972.815608 2612.141816 3554.057747
2025-10-05 642.211551 853.955889 1137.266896 1551.104453 2152.158902 3012.487518 4372.879673
2025-10-12 585.519650 804.520391 1109.360840 1574.606863 2284.724748 3358.554085 5167.056719
2025-10-19 537.298269 759.555900 1079.791636 1587.829438 2398.471868 3686.941845 5986.986242
2025-10-26 496.802660 720.342604 1052.545346 1598.386797 2505.530862 4015.666691 6863.620899
2025-11-02 470.382023 698.730744 1048.295959 1642.515394 2670.202550 4461.299134 8031.192936
2025-11-09 443.208274 672.802636 1033.795989 1666.701991 2802.120204 4867.208516 9203.883745
2025-11-16 417.654905 646.725546 1015.855332 1681.838369 2918.256642 5259.697190 10429.626406
2025-11-23 395.533823 624.005690 1000.806470 1699.411685 3039.768262 5679.427437 11802.631455
2025-11-30 377.584694 606.479835 992.530246 1727.530053 3184.016658 6166.069646 13435.697168
2025-12-07 347.462001 566.452519 942.735625 1675.218706 3166.804191 6323.479979 14355.564877
2025-12-14 320.892174 530.603328 897.414578 1626.880035 3152.077735 6486.078691 15336.749665
2025-12-21 295.915981 495.595846 850.528993 1570.222938 3111.825726 6583.920429 16173.468095
2025-12-28 288.598622 491.577115 860.163875 1627.193816 3324.544504 7305.826159 18917.605326
2026-01-04 277.691975 480.073940 854.565790 1652.052094 3468.977061 7890.154506 21446.379559
2026-01-11 266.349984 466.852797 844.431147 1666.038411 3590.119532 8438.814555 24042.088471
2026-01-18 255.574422 453.874603 833.607014 1677.206427 3706.038461 8996.359655 26854.364730
2026-01-25 249.326222 449.098273 838.658550 1723.895055 3916.054779 9853.230347 31003.185362
2026-02-01 241.311684 440.257688 834.637735 1749.489907 4076.631555 10604.873754 35067.808437
2026-02-08 232.909155 430.037451 826.881918 1765.509411 4214.747546 11320.773443 39290.479003
2026-02-15 225.283757 420.844012 820.520056 1784.109776 4362.831926 12100.901293 44115.732532